SquashLevels calculations
Eain Yow Ng v Cameron Pilley (Tue 17 Dec 2019)
Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 12-14,11-6,11-6,9-11,11-4.
Starting level for
Eain Yow Ng:
42,320, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for
Cameron Pilley:
36,605, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing
16% better than Cameron Pilley.
Eain Yow Ng won 60% of the games and 57% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 32% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played
15% better than Cameron Pilley in this match.
In this case, Eain Yow Ng played at level 42,252 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Cameron Pilley is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 82%, Cameron Pilley: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 82%, Cameron Pilley: 88%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Eain Yow Ng:
42,197, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Cameron Pilley:
36,648, level confidence: 88%.