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Victor Crouin v Jesus Camacho (Wed 29 May 2019)

Match won by Victor Crouin. Result: 8-11,12-10,11-9,11-6.

Starting level for Victor Crouin: 31,445, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Jesus Camacho: 25,797, level confidence: 47%.
Victor Crouin to win as he is currently playing 22% better than Jesus Camacho.

Victor Crouin won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 17% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Victor Crouin played 22% better than Jesus Camacho in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Victor Crouin actually played at a level of 31,491 and Jesus Camacho at a level of 25,759. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Victor Crouin changes to 0% and Jesus Camacho changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Victor Crouin becomes +0% and for Jesus Camacho becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Internacional Sporta Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Victor Crouin: 81%, Jesus Camacho: 69%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Victor Crouin: 81%, Jesus Camacho: 69%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Victor Crouin: 31,478, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Jesus Camacho: 25,876, level confidence: 69%.