SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Joey Chan v Salma Hany (Wed 22 May 2019)

Match won by Joey Chan. Result: 7-11,11-6,4-11,11-9,11-7.

Starting level for Joey Chan: 8,100, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Starting level for Salma Hany: 8,189, level confidence: 85%. Set manually.
Salma Hany to win as she is currently playing 1% better than Joey Chan.

Joey Chan won 60% of the games and 50% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 0% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joey Chan played 8% better than Salma Hany in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Joey Chan actually played at a level of 8,444 and Salma Hany at a level of 7,855. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 4.3% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Joey Chan changes to +4.2% and Salma Hany changes to -3.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Joey Chan becomes +1.9% and for Salma Hany becomes -1.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA British Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joey Chan: 84%, Salma Hany: 92%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joey Chan: 80%, Salma Hany: 88%.

A final adjustment of -0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joey Chan: 8,204, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Salma Hany: 8,047, level confidence: 88%.