SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Baptiste Masotti v Edmon Lopez Moller (Sat 17 Nov 2018)

Match won by Baptiste Masotti. Result: 11-9,11-8,11-7.

Starting level for Baptiste Masotti: 31,800, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Starting level for Edmon Lopez Moller: 29,077, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Baptiste Masotti to win as he is currently playing 9% better than Edmon Lopez Moller.

Baptiste Masotti won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 38% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Baptiste Masotti played 43% better than Edmon Lopez Moller in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Baptiste Masotti actually played at a level of 36,398 and Edmon Lopez Moller at a level of 25,404. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 14% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti changes to +13% and Edmon Lopez Moller changes to -14%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti becomes +3.1% and for Edmon Lopez Moller becomes -3.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Open International Niort Venise Verte' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Baptiste Masotti: 93%, Edmon Lopez Moller: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Baptiste Masotti: 81%, Edmon Lopez Moller: 79%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Baptiste Masotti: 32,711, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Edmon Lopez Moller: 28,344, level confidence: 79%.