SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Rob Staunton v Ben Ford (Mon 05 Nov 2018)

Match won by Ben Ford. Result: 7-11,8-11,7-11.

Starting level for Rob Staunton: 8,067, level confidence: 42%.
Starting level for Ben Ford: 15,428, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Ben Ford to win as he is currently playing 91% better than Rob Staunton.

Ben Ford won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ben Ford played 52% better than Rob Staunton in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Ben Ford was taking it easy by anything up to 11%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 11,895 and 15,428 without affecting his level.

In this case, Ben Ford played at level 12,967 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Ben Ford would normally have been playing at level 13,744 (based on typical behaviour), Rob Staunton played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 6%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 4.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ben Ford changes to 0% and Rob Staunton changes to +4.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ben Ford becomes 0% and for Rob Staunton becomes +1.9%.

Given Rob Staunton's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 11% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Middlesex Seniors League' so the adjustment for Ben Ford is 0% and for Rob Staunton is +1.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ben Ford: 89%, Rob Staunton: 64%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ben Ford: 79%, Rob Staunton: 57%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Rob Staunton: 8,190, level confidence: 57%.
Final level for Ben Ford: 15,467, level confidence: 79%.