SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Karim Ibrahim v Rob Staunton (Tue 30 Oct 2018)

Match won by Karim Ibrahim. Result: 11-4,11-6,11-9.

Starting level for Karim Ibrahim: 8,815, level confidence: 27%.
Starting level for Rob Staunton: 8,391, level confidence: 30%.
Karim Ibrahim to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Rob Staunton.

Karim Ibrahim won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 74% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Karim Ibrahim played 74% better than Rob Staunton in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Karim Ibrahim actually played at a level of 11,334 and Rob Staunton at a level of 6,526. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 29% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Karim Ibrahim changes to +28% and Rob Staunton changes to -24%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Karim Ibrahim becomes +7.3% and for Rob Staunton becomes -6.7%.

Given Karim Ibrahim's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 14% has been applied to his level change.

Given Rob Staunton's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 12% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Middlesex Seniors League' so the adjustment for Karim Ibrahim is +4.8% and for Rob Staunton is -4.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Karim Ibrahim: 52%, Rob Staunton: 55%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Karim Ibrahim: 40%, Rob Staunton: 43%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Karim Ibrahim: 9,263, level confidence: 40%.
Final level for Rob Staunton: 8,062, level confidence: 43%.