SquashLevels calculations
Jahangir Hussain v Dewi Banks (Tue 29 May 2018)
Match won by Jahangir Hussain. Result: 3-0.
Starting level for
Jahangir Hussain:
4,732, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for
Dewi Banks:
2,478, level confidence: 61%.
Jahangir Hussain to win as he is currently playing
91% better than Dewi Banks.
Jahangir Hussain won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Jahangir Hussain was taking it easy by anything up to 11%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 3,549 and 4,732 without affecting his level.
In this case, Jahangir Hussain played at level 4,337 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Dewi Banks is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jahangir Hussain: 83%, Dewi Banks: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jahangir Hussain: 79%, Dewi Banks: 75%.
Final level for Jahangir Hussain:
4,732, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for Dewi Banks:
2,478, level confidence: 75%.