SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Alex Preston v Neil Waller (Mon 09 Apr 2018)

Match won by Alex Preston. Result: 16-14,4-11,12-10,10-12,11-4.

Starting level for Alex Preston: 6,308, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Starting level for Neil Waller: 4,088, level confidence: 60%.
Alex Preston to win as he is currently playing 54% better than Neil Waller.

Alex Preston won 60% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 4% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Alex Preston played 8% better than Neil Waller in this match.

As Alex Preston has played below his allowed range at 4,968, his level reduction is 12% before damping. On the assumption that Alex Preston would normally have been playing at level 5,967 (based on typical behaviour), Neil Waller played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 16%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 9.6% and 13% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Alex Preston changes to -6.7% and Neil Waller changes to +13%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Alex Preston becomes -2.7% and for Neil Waller becomes +4.7%.

Given Alex Preston's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 5.3% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Middlesex Seniors League' so the adjustment for Alex Preston is -1.9% and for Neil Waller is +3.5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alex Preston: 91%, Neil Waller: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alex Preston: 76%, Neil Waller: 65%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Alex Preston: 6,206, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Neil Waller: 4,244, level confidence: 65%.