SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Paul Stroud v Jack McElvenny (Tue 30 Jan 2018)

Match won by Paul Stroud. Result: 7-11,11-4,11-2,11-5.

Starting level for Paul Stroud: 6,579, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jack McElvenny: 6,005, level confidence: 65%.
Paul Stroud to win as he is currently playing 10% better than Jack McElvenny.

Paul Stroud won 75% of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 82% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Paul Stroud played 44% better than Jack McElvenny in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Paul Stroud actually played at a level of 7,536 and Jack McElvenny at a level of 5,242. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 15% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Paul Stroud changes to +10.4% and Jack McElvenny changes to -14%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Paul Stroud becomes +3.6% and for Jack McElvenny becomes -4.6%.

Given Paul Stroud's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 6.3% has been applied to his level change.

Given Jack McElvenny's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 4.2% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Leicestershire Mens League 2017/18' so the adjustment for Paul Stroud is +2.5% and for Jack McElvenny is -3.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Paul Stroud: 93%, Jack McElvenny: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Paul Stroud: 81%, Jack McElvenny: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Paul Stroud: 6,736, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Jack McElvenny: 5,806, level confidence: 71%.