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Benjamin Aubert v Abdulla Al-Tamimi (Fri 07 Feb 2020)

Match won by Benjamin Aubert. Result: 13-11,11-5,12-14,13-15,11-3.

Starting level for Benjamin Aubert: 34,402, level confidence: 50%.
Starting level for Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 40,098, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Abdulla Al-Tamimi to win as he is currently playing 17% better than Benjamin Aubert.

Benjamin Aubert won 60% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 25% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Benjamin Aubert played 14% better than Abdulla Al-Tamimi in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Benjamin Aubert actually played at a level of 39,612 and Abdulla Al-Tamimi at a level of 34,824. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 15% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Benjamin Aubert changes to +14% and Abdulla Al-Tamimi changes to -9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Benjamin Aubert becomes +3.2% and for Abdulla Al-Tamimi becomes -2.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Motor City Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Benjamin Aubert: 71%, Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Benjamin Aubert: 61%, Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 75%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Benjamin Aubert: 35,442, level confidence: 61%.
Final level for Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 39,286, level confidence: 75%.