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Baptiste Masotti v Joong-Won Hwang (Fri 29 Nov 2019)

Match won by Baptiste Masotti. Result: 11-4,11-9,11-5.

Starting level for Baptiste Masotti: 37,789, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for Joong-Won Hwang: 12,242, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Baptiste Masotti to win as he is currently playing 209% better than Joong-Won Hwang.

Baptiste Masotti won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Baptiste Masotti played 83% better than Joong-Won Hwang in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Baptiste Masotti was taking it easy by anything up to 25%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 21,054 and 37,789 without affecting his level.

In this case, Baptiste Masotti played at level 25,161 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Baptiste Masotti would normally have been playing at level 28,206 (based on typical behaviour), Joong-Won Hwang played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 12%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 6.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti changes to 0% and Joong-Won Hwang changes to +6.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti becomes 0% and for Joong-Won Hwang becomes +2.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior World Team Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Baptiste Masotti: 82%, Joong-Won Hwang: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Baptiste Masotti: 64%, Joong-Won Hwang: 66%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Baptiste Masotti: 37,732, level confidence: 64%.
Final level for Joong-Won Hwang: 12,492, level confidence: 66%.