SquashLevels calculations
Rex Hedrick v Bruce Burrowes (Tue 26 Nov 2019)
Match won by Rex Hedrick. Result: 11-3,11-5,11-3.
Starting level for
Rex Hedrick:
34,834, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for
Bruce Burrowes:
6,495, level confidence: 40%.
Rex Hedrick to win as he is currently playing
436% better than Bruce Burrowes.
Rex Hedrick won all of the games and 75% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 200% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Rex Hedrick played
200% better than Bruce Burrowes in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Rex Hedrick was taking it easy by anything up to 44%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 10,825 and 34,834 without affecting his level.
In this case, Rex Hedrick played at level 19,485 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Bruce Burrowes is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rex Hedrick: 82%, Bruce Burrowes: 63%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rex Hedrick: 61%, Bruce Burrowes: 47%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Rex Hedrick:
34,782, level confidence: 61%.
Final level for Bruce Burrowes:
6,485, level confidence: 47%.