Wong Chi Him v Addeen Idrakie (Sat 09 Nov 2019)
Match won by Wong Chi Him. Result: 11-8,7-11,11-8,11-8.
Starting level for
Wong Chi Him:
27,611, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for
Addeen Idrakie:
24,021, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Wong Chi Him to win as he is currently playing
15% better than Addeen Idrakie.
Wong Chi Him won 75% of the games and 53% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 14% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Wong Chi Him played
21% better than Addeen Idrakie in this match.
Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Wong Chi Him actually played at a level of
28,383 and Addeen Idrakie at a level of
23,368. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 2.8% to match this result.
Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Wong Chi Him changes to +2.6% and Addeen Idrakie changes to -2.3%.
After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Wong Chi Him becomes +1.1% and for Addeen Idrakie becomes -1%.
Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Cairns International' so the adjustment is unchanged.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Wong Chi Him: 81%, Addeen Idrakie: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Wong Chi Him: 78%, Addeen Idrakie: 83%.
A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Wong Chi Him:
27,782, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Addeen Idrakie:
23,907, level confidence: 83%.