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Wong Chi Him v David Ilich (Thu 07 Nov 2019)

Match won by Wong Chi Him. Result: 11-4,11-3,11-5.

Starting level for Wong Chi Him: 26,192, level confidence: 70%.
Starting level for David Ilich: 8,508, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Wong Chi Him to win as he is currently playing 208% better than David Ilich.

Wong Chi Him won all of the games and 73% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 175% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Wong Chi Him played 175% better than David Ilich in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Wong Chi Him was taking it easy by anything up to 25%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 14,628 and 26,192 without affecting his level.

In this case, Wong Chi Him played at level 23,397 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, David Ilich is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Wong Chi Him: 83%, David Ilich: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Wong Chi Him: 79%, David Ilich: 82%.

Final level for Wong Chi Him: 26,192, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for David Ilich: 8,508, level confidence: 82%.