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Wong Chi Him v Bryan Lim Tze Kang (Fri 01 Nov 2019)

Match won by Wong Chi Him. Result: 11-8,11-3,11-4.

Starting level for Wong Chi Him: 23,823, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Bryan Lim Tze Kang: 15,108, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Wong Chi Him to win as he is currently playing 58% better than Bryan Lim Tze Kang.

Wong Chi Him won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Wong Chi Him played 120% better than Bryan Lim Tze Kang in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Wong Chi Him actually played at a level of 28,139 and Bryan Lim Tze Kang at a level of 12,791. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 18% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 14% and 14% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Wong Chi Him changes to +13% and Bryan Lim Tze Kang changes to -14%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Wong Chi Him becomes +3.3% and for Bryan Lim Tze Kang becomes -3.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Queensland Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Wong Chi Him: 86%, Bryan Lim Tze Kang: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Wong Chi Him: 73%, Bryan Lim Tze Kang: 71%.

A final adjustment of +0.9% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Wong Chi Him: 24,619, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Bryan Lim Tze Kang: 14,806, level confidence: 71%.