SquashLevels calculations
Nouran Gohar v Wee Wern Low (Sun 27 Oct 2019)
Match won by Nouran Gohar. Result: 11-13,11-5,11-1,11-0.
Starting level for
Nouran Gohar:
14,046, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for
Wee Wern Low:
8,610, level confidence: 53%.
Nouran Gohar to win as she is currently playing
63% better than Wee Wern Low.
Nouran Gohar won 75% of the games and 70% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if she was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if she was better by around 132% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nouran Gohar played
60% better than Wee Wern Low in this match.
In this case, Nouran Gohar played at level 13,791 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Wee Wern Low is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nouran Gohar: 78%, Wee Wern Low: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nouran Gohar: 77%, Wee Wern Low: 72%.
A final adjustment of +0.4% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Nouran Gohar:
14,002, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Wee Wern Low:
8,701, level confidence: 72%.