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Campbell Grayson v Mike McCue (Thu 17 Oct 2019)

Match won by Campbell Grayson. Result: 11-5,11-4,12-10.

Starting level for Campbell Grayson: 41,674, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Starting level for Mike McCue: 22,752, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Campbell Grayson to win as he is currently playing 83% better than Mike McCue.

Campbell Grayson won all of the games and 64% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 79% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Campbell Grayson played 79% better than Mike McCue in this match.

In this case, Campbell Grayson played at level 40,714 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Mike McCue is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Campbell Grayson: 91%, Mike McCue: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Campbell Grayson: 90%, Mike McCue: 90%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Campbell Grayson: 41,750, level confidence: 90%.
Final level for Mike McCue: 22,793, level confidence: 90%.