SquashLevels calculations
Karim Abdel Gawad v Mostafa Asal (Tue 08 Oct 2019)
Match won by Karim Abdel Gawad. Result: 11-7,11-9,15-13.
Starting level for
Karim Abdel Gawad:
62,540, level confidence: 56%.
Starting level for
Mostafa Asal:
44,615, level confidence: 63%.
Karim Abdel Gawad to win as he is currently playing
40% better than Mostafa Asal.
Karim Abdel Gawad won all of the games and 56% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 28% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Karim Abdel Gawad played
37% better than Mostafa Asal in this match.
In this case, Karim Abdel Gawad played at level 60,959 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Mostafa Asal is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Karim Abdel Gawad: 75%, Mostafa Asal: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Karim Abdel Gawad: 74%, Mostafa Asal: 78%.
A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Karim Abdel Gawad:
62,527, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Mostafa Asal:
44,798, level confidence: 78%.