SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mike McCue v Anthony Graham (Fri 27 Sep 2019)

Match won by Mike McCue. Result: 11-6,11-6,11-1.

Starting level for Mike McCue: 21,451, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Anthony Graham: 14,614, level confidence: 41%.
Mike McCue to win as he is currently playing 47% better than Anthony Graham.

Mike McCue won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mike McCue played 154% better than Anthony Graham in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Mike McCue actually played at a level of 28,209 and Anthony Graham at a level of 11,113. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 32% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 25% and 25% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mike McCue changes to +14% and Anthony Graham changes to -25%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mike McCue becomes +3.4% and for Anthony Graham becomes -6.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Wakefield Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Anthony Graham is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mike McCue: 88%, Anthony Graham: 64%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mike McCue: 67%, Anthony Graham: 49%.

A final adjustment of +1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mike McCue: 22,187, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Anthony Graham: 14,187, level confidence: 49%.