Tsz Fung Yip v Abdulla Al-Tamimi (Fri 13 Sep 2019)
Match won by Tsz Fung Yip. Result: 11-4,9-11,11-5,12-10.
Starting level for
Tsz Fung Yip:
37,480, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Abdulla Al-Tamimi:
31,011, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Tsz Fung Yip to win as he is currently playing
21% better than Abdulla Al-Tamimi.
Tsz Fung Yip won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 43% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tsz Fung Yip played
31% better than Abdulla Al-Tamimi in this match.
Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Tsz Fung Yip actually played at a level of
39,028 and Abdulla Al-Tamimi at a level of
29,781. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 4.1% to match this result.
Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tsz Fung Yip changes to +3.7% and Abdulla Al-Tamimi changes to -3.5%.
After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tsz Fung Yip becomes +1.3% and for Abdulla Al-Tamimi becomes -1.3%.
Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA HKFC International' so the adjustment is unchanged.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tsz Fung Yip: 88%, Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tsz Fung Yip: 84%, Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 87%.
A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Tsz Fung Yip:
37,781, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Abdulla Al-Tamimi:
30,768, level confidence: 87%.