SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Nouran Gohar v Yathreb Adel (Fri 06 Sep 2019)

Match won by Nouran Gohar. Result: 11-4,11-5,9-11,9-11,11-6.

Starting level for Nouran Gohar: 13,119, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for Yathreb Adel: 8,852, level confidence: 68%.
Nouran Gohar to win as she is currently playing 48% better than Yathreb Adel.

Nouran Gohar won 60% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 38% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nouran Gohar played 17% better than Yathreb Adel in this match.

As Nouran Gohar has played below her allowed range at 11,120, her level reduction is 7.4% before damping. On the assumption that Nouran Gohar would normally have been playing at level 12,518 (based on typical behaviour), Yathreb Adel played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 10%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 6% and 8.1% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Nouran Gohar changes to -6% and Yathreb Adel changes to +7.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Nouran Gohar becomes -2.1% and for Yathreb Adel becomes +2.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA China Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nouran Gohar: 79%, Yathreb Adel: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nouran Gohar: 70%, Yathreb Adel: 73%.

A final adjustment of +0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Nouran Gohar: 12,944, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Yathreb Adel: 9,113, level confidence: 73%.