SquashLevels calculations
Borja Golan v Martin Svec (Wed 04 Sep 2019)
Match won by Borja Golan. Result: 11-7,11-3,11-9.
Starting level for
Borja Golan:
39,509, level confidence: 49%.
Starting level for
Martin Svec:
22,446, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Borja Golan to win as he is currently playing
76% better than Martin Svec.
Borja Golan won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 74% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Borja Golan played
74% better than Martin Svec in this match.
In this case, Borja Golan played at level 38,985 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Martin Svec is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Borja Golan: 70%, Martin Svec: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Borja Golan: 69%, Martin Svec: 84%.
A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Borja Golan:
39,506, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Martin Svec:
22,444, level confidence: 84%.