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George Parker v Harry Falconer (Thu 29 Aug 2019)

Match won by George Parker. Result: 12-10,11-1,12-10.

Starting level for George Parker: 37,243, level confidence: 56%.
Starting level for Harry Falconer: 20,343, level confidence: 65%.
George Parker to win as he is currently playing 83% better than Harry Falconer.

George Parker won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 67% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that George Parker played 67% better than Harry Falconer in this match.

In this case, George Parker played at level 33,905 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Harry Falconer is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. George Parker: 75%, Harry Falconer: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. George Parker: 71%, Harry Falconer: 77%.

A final adjustment of +0.4% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for George Parker: 37,247, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Harry Falconer: 20,512, level confidence: 77%.