SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Vikram Malhotra v Velavan Senthilkumar (Mon 26 Aug 2019)

Match won by Vikram Malhotra. Result: 11-9,10-12,11-9,11-3.

Starting level for Vikram Malhotra: 27,935, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Velavan Senthilkumar: 19,031, level confidence: 61%.
Vikram Malhotra to win as he is currently playing 47% better than Velavan Senthilkumar.

Vikram Malhotra won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 30% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Vikram Malhotra played 27% better than Velavan Senthilkumar in this match.

As Vikram Malhotra has played below his allowed range at 24,818, his level reduction is 2.9% before damping. On the assumption that Vikram Malhotra would normally have been playing at level 26,708 (based on typical behaviour), Velavan Senthilkumar played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 5.2%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.4% and 4.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Vikram Malhotra changes to -2.2% and Velavan Senthilkumar changes to +4.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Vikram Malhotra becomes -0.9% and for Velavan Senthilkumar becomes +1.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Srfi Indian Tour' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Vikram Malhotra: 81%, Velavan Senthilkumar: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Vikram Malhotra: 75%, Velavan Senthilkumar: 72%.

Final level for Vikram Malhotra: 27,688, level confidence: 75%.
Final level for Velavan Senthilkumar: 19,332, level confidence: 72%.