Piedro Schweertman v Rene Mijs (Sat 24 Aug 2019)
Match won by Piedro Schweertman. Result: 11-4,11-7,11-4.
Starting level for
Piedro Schweertman:
27,498, level confidence: 64%.
Starting level for
Rene Mijs:
12,739, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Piedro Schweertman to win as he is currently playing
116% better than Rene Mijs.
Piedro Schweertman won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Piedro Schweertman played
120% better than Rene Mijs in this match.
Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Piedro Schweertman actually played at a level of
27,761 and Rene Mijs at a level of
12,618. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1% to match this result.
Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0.6% and 0.6% respectively.
Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Piedro Schweertman changes to +0.6% and Rene Mijs changes to -0.6%.
After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Piedro Schweertman becomes +0.3% and for Rene Mijs becomes 0%.
Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior European Masters Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Piedro Schweertman: 80%, Rene Mijs: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Piedro Schweertman: 79%, Rene Mijs: 86%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Piedro Schweertman:
27,530, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for Rene Mijs:
12,686, level confidence: 86%.