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Vikram Malhotra v Shawn Delierre (Thu 08 Aug 2019)

Match won by Vikram Malhotra. Result: 11-6,11-7,4-11,5-11,11-6.

Starting level for Vikram Malhotra: 28,214, level confidence: 28%.
Starting level for Shawn Delierre: 25,693, level confidence: 66%.
Vikram Malhotra to win as he is currently playing 10% better than Shawn Delierre.

Vikram Malhotra won 60% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 2% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Vikram Malhotra played 8% better than Shawn Delierre in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Vikram Malhotra actually played at a level of 27,994 and Shawn Delierre at a level of 25,894. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0.8% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Vikram Malhotra changes to -0.7% and Shawn Delierre changes to +0.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Vikram Malhotra becomes -0.3% and for Shawn Delierre becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Houston Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Vikram Malhotra: 53%, Shawn Delierre: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Vikram Malhotra: 52%, Shawn Delierre: 81%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Vikram Malhotra: 28,095, level confidence: 52%.
Final level for Shawn Delierre: 25,769, level confidence: 81%.