SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Miguel Rodriguez v Diego Gobbi (Sun 21 Jul 2019)

Match won by Miguel Rodriguez. Result: 8-11,14-12,0-11,11-8,11-4.

Starting level for Miguel Rodriguez: 49,716, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Diego Gobbi: 22,318, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Miguel Rodriguez to win as he is currently playing 123% better than Diego Gobbi.

Miguel Rodriguez won 60% of the games and 49% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 5% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Miguel Rodriguez played 6% better than Diego Gobbi in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Miguel Rodriguez was taking it easy by anything up to 15%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 35,666 and 49,716 without affecting his level.

As Miguel Rodriguez has played below his allowed range at 29,104, his level reduction is 23% before damping. On the assumption that Miguel Rodriguez would normally have been playing at level 42,109 (based on typical behaviour), Diego Gobbi played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 33%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 15% and 21% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Miguel Rodriguez changes to -15% and Diego Gobbi changes to +19%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Miguel Rodriguez becomes -3.1% and for Diego Gobbi becomes +4.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Pan American Team Games Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Miguel Rodriguez: 79%, Diego Gobbi: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Miguel Rodriguez: 54%, Diego Gobbi: 58%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Miguel Rodriguez: 48,245, level confidence: 54%.
Final level for Diego Gobbi: 23,332, level confidence: 58%.