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Youssef Soliman v Angus Gillams (Sun 21 Jul 2019)

Match won by Youssef Soliman. Result: 13-11,11-8,11-6.

Starting level for Youssef Soliman: 36,677, level confidence: 41%.
Starting level for Angus Gillams: 25,024, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Youssef Soliman to win as he is currently playing 47% better than Angus Gillams.

Youssef Soliman won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 40% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Youssef Soliman played 45% better than Angus Gillams in this match.

In this case, Youssef Soliman played at level 36,272 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Angus Gillams is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Youssef Soliman: 64%, Angus Gillams: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Youssef Soliman: 63%, Angus Gillams: 89%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Youssef Soliman: 36,750, level confidence: 63%.
Final level for Angus Gillams: 25,107, level confidence: 89%.