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Eain Yow Ng v Addeen Idrakie (Sat 20 Jul 2019)

Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 11-6,11-5,11-2.

Starting level for Eain Yow Ng: 35,071, level confidence: 59%.
Starting level for Addeen Idrakie: 21,860, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing 60% better than Addeen Idrakie.

Eain Yow Ng won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played 154% better than Addeen Idrakie in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Eain Yow Ng actually played at a level of 44,115 and Addeen Idrakie at a level of 17,379. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 26% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 20% and 20% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng changes to +20% and Addeen Idrakie changes to -13%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng becomes +4.2% and for Addeen Idrakie becomes -3.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Malaysian Nationals' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 76%, Addeen Idrakie: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 61%, Addeen Idrakie: 74%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Eain Yow Ng: 36,267, level confidence: 61%.
Final level for Addeen Idrakie: 21,347, level confidence: 74%.