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Anthony Lepper v Campbell Grayson (Fri 28 Jun 2019)

Match won by Campbell Grayson. Result: 0-3.

Starting level for Anthony Lepper: 11,622, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Campbell Grayson: 37,302, level confidence: 66%.
Campbell Grayson to win as he is currently playing 221% better than Anthony Lepper.

Campbell Grayson won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Campbell Grayson was taking it easy by anything up to 27%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 20,057 and 37,302 without affecting his level.

In this case, Campbell Grayson played at level 23,586 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Campbell Grayson would normally have been playing at level 27,353 (based on typical behaviour), Anthony Lepper played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 16%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 8.6% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 4.8%.

As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Campbell Grayson: 81%, Anthony Lepper: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Campbell Grayson: 60%, Anthony Lepper: 63%.

A final adjustment of -0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Anthony Lepper: 11,593, level confidence: 63%.
Final level for Campbell Grayson: 37,209, level confidence: 60%.