SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Wong Chi Him v Tang Ming Hong (Fri 21 Jun 2019)

Match won by Wong Chi Him. Result: 11-4,11-2,11-4.

Starting level for Wong Chi Him: 23,173, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for Tang Ming Hong: 18,450, level confidence: 61%.
Wong Chi Him to win as he is currently playing 26% better than Tang Ming Hong.

Wong Chi Him won all of the games and 77% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 230% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Wong Chi Him played 230% better than Tang Ming Hong in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Wong Chi Him actually played at a level of 37,562 and Tang Ming Hong at a level of 11,382. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 62% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 54% and 54% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Wong Chi Him changes to +53% and Tang Ming Hong changes to -54%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Wong Chi Him becomes +10% and for Tang Ming Hong becomes -10.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Nz Southern Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Wong Chi Him is limited to +6.2% and Tang Ming Hong is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Wong Chi Him: 79%, Tang Ming Hong: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Wong Chi Him: 49%, Tang Ming Hong: 48%.

Final level for Wong Chi Him: 24,612, level confidence: 49%.
Final level for Tang Ming Hong: 17,571, level confidence: 48%.