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Olli Tuominen v Adrian Waller (Tue 05 Feb 2019)

Match won by Adrian Waller. Result: 11-13,7-11.

Starting level for Olli Tuominen: 29,753, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for Adrian Waller: 42,198, level confidence: 62%.
Adrian Waller to win as he is currently playing 42% better than Olli Tuominen.

Adrian Waller won all of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 33% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Adrian Waller played 40% better than Olli Tuominen in this match.

In this case, Adrian Waller played at level 41,798 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Olli Tuominen is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Adrian Waller: 79%, Olli Tuominen: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Adrian Waller: 79%, Olli Tuominen: 89%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Olli Tuominen: 29,708, level confidence: 89%.
Final level for Adrian Waller: 42,135, level confidence: 79%.