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Elliott Morris Devred v George Parker (Tue 05 Feb 2019)

Match won by George Parker. Result: 6-11,5-11.

Starting level for Elliott Morris Devred: 19,808, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for George Parker: 39,791, level confidence: 69%.
George Parker to win as he is currently playing 101% better than Elliott Morris Devred.

George Parker won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 100% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that George Parker played 100% better than Elliott Morris Devred in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that George Parker was taking it easy by anything up to 13%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 29,850 and 39,791 without affecting his level.

In this case, George Parker played at level 39,616 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Elliott Morris Devred is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. George Parker: 83%, Elliott Morris Devred: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. George Parker: 83%, Elliott Morris Devred: 85%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Elliott Morris Devred: 19,778, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for George Parker: 39,731, level confidence: 83%.