SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Paul Gonzalez v Kristian Seiner (Fri 19 Apr 2019)

Match won by Paul Gonzalez. Result: 11-6,11-5,11-5.

Starting level for Paul Gonzalez: 9,373, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Kristian Seiner: 3,208, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Paul Gonzalez to win as he is currently playing 192% better than Kristian Seiner.

Paul Gonzalez won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 106% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Paul Gonzalez played 106% better than Kristian Seiner in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Paul Gonzalez was taking it easy by anything up to 24%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 5,479 and 9,373 without affecting his level.

In this case, Paul Gonzalez played at level 6,886 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Paul Gonzalez would normally have been playing at level 7,167 (based on typical behaviour), Kristian Seiner played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 4.1%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 2.4% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Paul Gonzalez changes to 0% and Kristian Seiner changes to +2.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Paul Gonzalez becomes 0% and for Kristian Seiner becomes +1.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'European Team Championships 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Paul Gonzalez: 88%, Kristian Seiner: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Paul Gonzalez: 74%, Kristian Seiner: 75%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Paul Gonzalez: 9,359, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Kristian Seiner: 3,253, level confidence: 75%.