SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Michael McLaughlin v Philip Waller (Mon 10 Jun 2019)

Match won by Michael McLaughlin. Result: 11-8,12-10,11-8.

Starting level for Michael McLaughlin: 8,822, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for Philip Waller: 7,178, level confidence: 66%.
Michael McLaughlin to win as he is currently playing 23% better than Philip Waller.

Michael McLaughlin won all of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 31% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Michael McLaughlin played 39% better than Philip Waller in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Michael McLaughlin actually played at a level of 9,374 and Philip Waller at a level of 6,755. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 6.3% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Michael McLaughlin changes to +5.6% and Philip Waller changes to -5.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Michael McLaughlin becomes +2.2% and for Philip Waller becomes -2.2%.

Given Michael McLaughlin's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 27% has been applied to his level change.

Given Philip Waller's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 16% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Middlesex Mens Summer League 2019' so the adjustment for Michael McLaughlin is +1.1% and for Philip Waller is -1.2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Michael McLaughlin: 78%, Philip Waller: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Michael McLaughlin: 74%, Philip Waller: 76%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Michael McLaughlin: 8,907, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Philip Waller: 7,081, level confidence: 76%.