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Diego Elias v Mario Yanez (Thu 30 May 2019)

Match won by Diego Elias. Result: 11-7,11-5,11-6.

Starting level for Diego Elias: 57,077, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for Mario Yanez: 26,935, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Diego Elias to win as he is currently playing 112% better than Mario Yanez.

Diego Elias won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Diego Elias played 83% better than Mario Yanez in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Diego Elias was taking it easy by anything up to 14%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 42,284 and 57,077 without affecting his level.

In this case, Diego Elias played at level 49,381 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Mario Yanez is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Diego Elias: 80%, Mario Yanez: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Diego Elias: 75%, Mario Yanez: 80%.

A final adjustment of +0.6% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Diego Elias: 57,157, level confidence: 75%.
Final level for Mario Yanez: 27,217, level confidence: 80%.