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Bernat Jaume v Valentin Rapp (Wed 29 May 2019)

Match won by Bernat Jaume. Result: 11-6,11-6,4-11,11-4.

Starting level for Bernat Jaume: 31,535, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Starting level for Valentin Rapp: 20,699, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Bernat Jaume to win as he is currently playing 52% better than Valentin Rapp.

Bernat Jaume won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 37% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Bernat Jaume played 29% better than Valentin Rapp in this match.

As Bernat Jaume has played below his allowed range at 27,522, his level reduction is 3.1% before damping. On the assumption that Bernat Jaume would normally have been playing at level 29,913 (based on typical behaviour), Valentin Rapp played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 5.9%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.5% and 4.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Bernat Jaume changes to -2.1% and Valentin Rapp changes to +4.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Bernat Jaume becomes -0.8% and for Valentin Rapp becomes +1.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Montpellier Metropole Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Bernat Jaume: 93%, Valentin Rapp: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Bernat Jaume: 86%, Valentin Rapp: 79%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Bernat Jaume: 31,176, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for Valentin Rapp: 21,123, level confidence: 79%.