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Greg Lobban v Ivan Yuen (Tue 21 May 2019)

Match won by Greg Lobban. Result: 12-10,11-9,10-12,11-4.

Starting level for Greg Lobban: 40,572, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ivan Yuen: 32,012, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Greg Lobban to win as he is currently playing 27% better than Ivan Yuen.

Greg Lobban won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 26% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Greg Lobban played 25% better than Ivan Yuen in this match.

In this case, Greg Lobban played at level 40,090 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Ivan Yuen is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Greg Lobban: 85%, Ivan Yuen: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Greg Lobban: 85%, Ivan Yuen: 85%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Greg Lobban: 40,567, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Ivan Yuen: 32,160, level confidence: 85%.