SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mostafa Asal v Mahesh Mangaonkar (Tue 14 May 2019)

Match won by Mostafa Asal. Result: 11-9,11-9,11-9.

Starting level for Mostafa Asal: 41,419, level confidence: 59%.
Starting level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 38,147, level confidence: 56%.
Mostafa Asal to win as he is currently playing 9% better than Mahesh Mangaonkar.

Mostafa Asal won all of the games and 55% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 22% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mostafa Asal played 33% better than Mahesh Mangaonkar in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Mostafa Asal actually played at a level of 45,848 and Mahesh Mangaonkar at a level of 34,462. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 10.7% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mostafa Asal changes to +9.7% and Mahesh Mangaonkar changes to -10.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mostafa Asal becomes +2.4% and for Mahesh Mangaonkar becomes -2.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Wimbledon Club Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mostafa Asal: 77%, Mahesh Mangaonkar: 75%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mostafa Asal: 69%, Mahesh Mangaonkar: 67%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mostafa Asal: 42,303, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 37,424, level confidence: 67%.