SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Syed Hasnain v Marcus Hayes (Mon 13 May 2019)

Match won by Marcus Hayes. Result: 6-11,9-11,4-11.

Starting level for Syed Hasnain: 6,917, level confidence: 54%.
Starting level for Marcus Hayes: 7,848, level confidence: 61%.
Marcus Hayes to win as he is currently playing 13% better than Syed Hasnain.

Marcus Hayes won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 74% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Marcus Hayes played 74% better than Syed Hasnain in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Marcus Hayes actually played at a level of 9,710 and Syed Hasnain at a level of 5,591. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 24% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Marcus Hayes changes to +19% and Syed Hasnain changes to -22%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Marcus Hayes becomes +5.6% and for Syed Hasnain becomes -6.5%.

Given Marcus Hayes's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 21% has been applied to his level change.

Given Syed Hasnain's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 14% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Warwickshire Summer League 2019' so the adjustment for Marcus Hayes is +3% and for Syed Hasnain is -3.6%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Marcus Hayes: 78%, Syed Hasnain: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Marcus Hayes: 63%, Syed Hasnain: 59%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Syed Hasnain: 6,668, level confidence: 59%.
Final level for Marcus Hayes: 8,073, level confidence: 63%.