Eain Yow Ng v Ammar Altamimi (Thu 02 May 2019)
Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 11-2,11-6,11-4.
Starting level for
Eain Yow Ng:
34,774, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for
Ammar Altamimi:
21,438, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing
62% better than Ammar Altamimi.
Eain Yow Ng won all of the games and 73% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 175% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played
175% better than Ammar Altamimi in this match.
Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Eain Yow Ng actually played at a level of
45,278 and Ammar Altamimi at a level of
16,465. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 30% to match this result.
Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 23% and 23% respectively.
Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng changes to +23% and Ammar Altamimi changes to -20%.
After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng becomes +4.8% and for Ammar Altamimi becomes -4.7%.
Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Asian Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 82%, Ammar Altamimi: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 63%, Ammar Altamimi: 66%.
A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Eain Yow Ng:
36,069, level confidence: 63%.
Final level for Ammar Altamimi:
20,679, level confidence: 66%.