SquashLevels calculations
Eain Yow Ng v Chen Wun-Lin (Wed 01 May 2019)
Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 11-0,11-3,11-2.
Starting level for
Eain Yow Ng:
34,789, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for
Chen Wun-Lin:
4,121, level confidence: 45%.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing
744% better than Chen Wun-Lin.
Eain Yow Ng won all of the games and 87% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 560% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played
560% better than Chen Wun-Lin in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Eain Yow Ng was taking it easy by anything up to 56%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 6,869 and 34,789 without affecting his level.
In this case, Eain Yow Ng played at level 27,199 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Chen Wun-Lin is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 76%, Chen Wun-Lin: 67%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 67%, Chen Wun-Lin: 59%.
Final level for Eain Yow Ng:
34,789, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Chen Wun-Lin:
4,121, level confidence: 59%.