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James Willstrop v Dimitri Steinmann (Sat 27 Apr 2019)

Match won by James Willstrop. Result: 11-6,11-8,12-10.

Starting level for James Willstrop: 44,553, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Dimitri Steinmann: 30,092, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
James Willstrop to win as he is currently playing 48% better than Dimitri Steinmann.

James Willstrop won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 42% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that James Willstrop played 46% better than Dimitri Steinmann in this match.

In this case, James Willstrop played at level 43,954 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Dimitri Steinmann is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Willstrop: 85%, Dimitri Steinmann: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Willstrop: 84%, Dimitri Steinmann: 84%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Willstrop: 44,641, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Dimitri Steinmann: 30,232, level confidence: 84%.