Cesar Salazar v Ramit Tandon (Sun 21 Apr 2019)
Match won by Cesar Salazar. Result: 3-11,11-4,11-2,11-4.
Starting level for
Cesar Salazar:
38,963, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Ramit Tandon:
38,356, level confidence: 63%.
Cesar Salazar to win as he is currently playing
2% better than Ramit Tandon.
Cesar Salazar won 75% of the games and 63% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 71% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Cesar Salazar played
40% better than Ramit Tandon in this match.
Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Cesar Salazar actually played at a level of
45,794 and Ramit Tandon at a level of
32,635. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 18% to match this result.
Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Cesar Salazar changes to +15% and Ramit Tandon changes to -17%.
After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Cesar Salazar becomes +3.4% and for Ramit Tandon becomes -3.8%.
Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA El Gouna International Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Cesar Salazar: 84%, Ramit Tandon: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Cesar Salazar: 72%, Ramit Tandon: 68%.
A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Cesar Salazar:
40,119, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Ramit Tandon:
37,107, level confidence: 68%.