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Wee Wern Low v Salma Hany (Thu 11 Apr 2019)

Match won by Wee Wern Low. Result: 12-10,11-7,11-3.

Starting level for Wee Wern Low: 8,020, level confidence: 64%.
Starting level for Salma Hany: 8,473, level confidence: 62%.
Salma Hany to win as she is currently playing 6% better than Wee Wern Low.

Wee Wern Low won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 70% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Wee Wern Low played 70% better than Salma Hany in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Wee Wern Low actually played at a level of 10,748 and Salma Hany at a level of 6,322. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 34% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Wee Wern Low changes to +32% and Salma Hany changes to -33%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Wee Wern Low becomes +8.4% and for Salma Hany becomes -8.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Macau Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Wee Wern Low is limited to +5.3% and Salma Hany is limited to -5.2% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Wee Wern Low: 80%, Salma Hany: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Wee Wern Low: 60%, Salma Hany: 59%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Wee Wern Low: 8,423, level confidence: 60%.
Final level for Salma Hany: 8,036, level confidence: 59%.