SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Eain Yow Ng v Nafizwan Adnan (Thu 11 Apr 2019)

Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 11-8,5-11,11-8,8-11,11-5.

Starting level for Eain Yow Ng: 36,524, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for Nafizwan Adnan: 34,929, level confidence: 62%.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Nafizwan Adnan.

Eain Yow Ng won 60% of the games and 52% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 7% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played 9% better than Nafizwan Adnan in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Eain Yow Ng actually played at a level of 37,332 and Nafizwan Adnan at a level of 34,173. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 2.2% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng changes to +1.7% and Nafizwan Adnan changes to -2.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Eain Yow Ng becomes +0.6% and for Nafizwan Adnan becomes -0.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Macau Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 90%, Nafizwan Adnan: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 88%, Nafizwan Adnan: 77%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Eain Yow Ng: 36,738, level confidence: 88%.
Final level for Nafizwan Adnan: 34,751, level confidence: 77%.