SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mohamed Elsherbini v Tayyab Aslam (Mon 08 Apr 2019)

Match won by Mohamed Elsherbini. Result: 11-13,11-9,11-2,6-11,13-11.

Starting level for Mohamed Elsherbini: 35,083, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Tayyab Aslam: 28,461, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Mohamed Elsherbini to win as he is currently playing 23% better than Tayyab Aslam.

Mohamed Elsherbini won 60% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 13% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mohamed Elsherbini played 11% better than Tayyab Aslam in this match.

As Mohamed Elsherbini has played below his allowed range at 32,784, his level reduction is 4% before damping. On the assumption that Mohamed Elsherbini would normally have been playing at level 34,586 (based on typical behaviour), Tayyab Aslam played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 4.7%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mohamed Elsherbini changes to -3.4% and Tayyab Aslam changes to +4.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mohamed Elsherbini becomes -1.3% and for Tayyab Aslam becomes +1.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Pakistan International Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mohamed Elsherbini: 88%, Tayyab Aslam: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mohamed Elsherbini: 83%, Tayyab Aslam: 80%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mohamed Elsherbini: 34,676, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Tayyab Aslam: 28,968, level confidence: 80%.