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Laurens-Jan Anjema v Jonathon Power (Sun 07 Apr 2019)

Match won by Laurens-Jan Anjema. Result: 11-4,11-7.

Starting level for Laurens-Jan Anjema: 31,676, level confidence: 59%.
Starting level for Jonathon Power: 18,335, level confidence: 28%.
Laurens-Jan Anjema to win as he is currently playing 73% better than Jonathon Power.

Laurens-Jan Anjema won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 100% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Laurens-Jan Anjema played 100% better than Jonathon Power in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Laurens-Jan Anjema actually played at a level of 34,082 and Jonathon Power at a level of 17,041. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 7.6% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.7% and 5.7% respectively.
As this is a best of 3 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 4.3% and 4.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Laurens-Jan Anjema changes to +2% and Jonathon Power changes to -4.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Laurens-Jan Anjema becomes +0.8% and for Jonathon Power becomes -1.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Legends' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Laurens-Jan Anjema: 77%, Jonathon Power: 53%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Laurens-Jan Anjema: 71%, Jonathon Power: 49%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Laurens-Jan Anjema: 32,011, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Jonathon Power: 18,090, level confidence: 49%.