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Joel Makin v Robin Gadola (Sat 06 Apr 2019)

Match won by Joel Makin. Result: 11-7,11-7,11-0.

Starting level for Joel Makin: 54,607, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for Robin Gadola: 21,929, level confidence: 64%.
Joel Makin to win as he is currently playing 149% better than Robin Gadola.

Joel Makin won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joel Makin played 136% better than Robin Gadola in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Joel Makin was taking it easy by anything up to 19%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 34,436 and 54,607 without affecting his level.

In this case, Joel Makin played at level 51,690 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Robin Gadola is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joel Makin: 82%, Robin Gadola: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joel Makin: 80%, Robin Gadola: 78%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joel Makin: 54,525, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Robin Gadola: 21,896, level confidence: 78%.