SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mostafa Asal v Wong Chi Him (Tue 02 Apr 2019)

Match won by Mostafa Asal. Result: 11-7,11-6,11-4.

Starting level for Mostafa Asal: 34,238, level confidence: 46%.
Starting level for Wong Chi Him: 22,331, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Mostafa Asal to win as he is currently playing 53% better than Wong Chi Him.

Mostafa Asal won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mostafa Asal played 94% better than Wong Chi Him in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Mostafa Asal actually played at a level of 38,525 and Wong Chi Him at a level of 19,846. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 13% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 10% and 10% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mostafa Asal changes to +10% and Wong Chi Him changes to -5.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mostafa Asal becomes +2.5% and for Wong Chi Him becomes -1.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Cas International' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mostafa Asal: 68%, Wong Chi Him: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mostafa Asal: 60%, Wong Chi Him: 78%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mostafa Asal: 34,909, level confidence: 60%.
Final level for Wong Chi Him: 22,053, level confidence: 78%.